METHODOLOGY

The Pythia-BOMBE method

How we turn fragmented data into a defensible verdict.

1 · Hypothesis

We frame every deal as a set of testable hypotheses about value, risk, and intent. Never a single number.

2 · Evidence

Each hypothesis is grounded in a source. Every source carries a confidence score and a missingness flag.

3 · Falsification

We actively seek evidence that would kill the deal. If we cannot find any, that is itself information.

4 · Contradiction

Where sources disagree, we surface the conflict instead of averaging it away.

5 · Missingness

What we do not know is declared, not hidden. Silent gaps are the most expensive data points.

6 · Verdict

Proceed · Negotiate · Hold · Reject — with confidence, checklist, and the verification questions that remain.

Not an appraisal. Not investment advice. Model-assisted due diligence.